Debt and Equity Market Reaction to Employment Reports

Asim Ghosh () and Ronnie Clayton ()
Additional contact information
Asim Ghosh: Indian Institute of Management, Joka, Kolkata 700104, India
Ronnie Clayton: Jacksonville State University, 700 Pelham Rd. N., Jacksonville, AL 36265, USA

Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), 2006, vol. 09, issue 03, 431-440

Abstract: Several researchers have recently shown an interaction between macroeconomic variables and stock returns. Most of these studies have concentrated on interest rates and inflation. These and other variables, of course, have an influence on the debt markets as well. Other variables that can influence the debt and equity markets include employment information. On the first Friday of each month the government releases its employment report for the previous month. Strong growth in employment generally bodes well for economic output and growth in the economy. Any inflation and interest rate implications of a strong employment report will ultimately be reflected in bond and stock prices. It is generally observed that if payroll employment growth is moderately strong prices in the bond market drop while prices in the stock market rise. The empirical evidence presented supports these observations. This study documents the reaction of the bond and the stock markets in response to the employment reports. As the unemployment rate tends to rise so do the bond and the stock markets.

Keywords: Employment; unemployment; debt; equity; causality; time-series; cointegration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G1 G2 G3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0219091506000835
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wsi:rpbfmp:v:09:y:2006:i:03:n:s0219091506000835

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from

DOI: 10.1142/S0219091506000835

Access Statistics for this article

Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP) is currently edited by Cheng-few Lee

More articles in Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP) from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Tai Tone Lim ().