The Impact of Auditors' Opinions, Macroeconomic and Industry Factors on Financial Distress Prediction: An Empirical Investigation

Bi-Huei Tsai (), Cheng Few Lee and Lili Sun
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Bi-Huei Tsai: Department of Management Science, College of Management, National Chiao Tung University, Taiwan
Lili Sun: Department of Accounting, University of North Texas, 1155 Union Circle #305219, Denton, Texas 76203-5017, USA

Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), 2009, vol. 12, issue 03, 417-454

Abstract: This study investigates the usefulness of auditors' opinions, market factors, macroeconomic factors, and industry factors in predicting financial distress of Taiwanese firms. Specifically, two non-traditional auditors' opinions are evaluated: "long-term investment audited by other auditors" ("other auditor"), and "realized investment income based on non-audited financial statements" ("no auditor").The results of the 22 discrete-time hazard models show that "other auditor" opinions have incremental contribution in predicting financial distress, in addition to "going concern" opinions. This suggests that "other auditor" opinions possess higher risk of overstating earnings and firms with such income items are more likely to fail. Besides, we find that the macroeconomic factors studied significantly explain financial distress. Particularly, the survivals of electronic firms are more sensitive to earnings due to higher earnings fluctuations in such firms. Finally, models with auditors' opinions, market factors, macroeconomic factors, and industry factors perform better than the financial ratio-only model in financial distress prediction.

Keywords: Financial distress; auditors' opinion; discrete-time hazard model; macroeconomics; earnings quality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G1 G2 G3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1142/S0219091509001691

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