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The Pre-Holiday Effect in China: Abnormal Returns or Compensation for Risk?

Tian Yuan (), Rakesh Gupta () and Robert Bianchi
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Tian Yuan: Fixed Income Department, Guosen Securities 6, Xingsheng Street, Beijing 100033, P. R. China

Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), 2015, vol. 18, issue 03, 1-28

Abstract: This study examines the pre-holiday effect in the Chinese stock market. It provides new insights into the weak-form efficiency of China's equity market indexes. Using the GARCH (1,1) model, we find the pre-holiday effect in broad-based Chinese stock returns and in size, value and growth style indexes. Further analysis using a GARCH (1,1)-M model suggests that the pre-holiday effect at both market and industry/sector levels can be attributed to time-varying risk. We show the pre-holiday effect reflects abnormal returns in small-cap, large-cap and growth style indexes while this same effect reflects compensation for bearing risk in value stocks.

Keywords: Chinese stock market; weak-form market efficiency; pre-holiday effect; volatility; GARCH-M (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G1 G2 G3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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DOI: 10.1142/S0219091515500149

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