Afectación del COVID-19 en las ventas y exportaciones de las empresas ecuatorianas

Zuly Orellana García

X-pedientes_Económicos, 2021, vol. 5, issue 11, 17-24

Abstract: Firm sales play a fundamental role in thedynamization of the economy. However, they respond to acontext in which variations may arise, depending on political,economic, health, etc. situations. Since 2020, the world has beengoing through a devastating health crisis caused by COVID-19,and government representatives have taken measures to protectthemselves from this virus. This paper focuses on the quantitativeanalysis of the sales and exports of Ecuadorian companies bymeans of a Discontinuous Regression model over time, takingas a threshold the confinement measure dictated in Ecuador on March 16, 2020. The sales and exports of the companies areconsidered on a monthly basis from April 2019 to March 2021 obtained from the Internal Revenue Service. A negative and significant effect on sales and exports due to the implementation of the confinement policy is reported; however, it is not causal.

Date: 2021
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