The Effect of Free Trade Agreements on Bilateral Trade Flows: The Case of Cefta

Selena Begoviæ
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Selena Begoviæ: PhD candidate at the Staffordshire University and at School of Economics and Business, Sarajevo, University of Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina

Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, 2011, vol. 14, issue 2, 51-69

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to argue that free trade agreements do not necessarily improve trade between member countries. The effects of such agreements depend on the historical, political and ethnic circumstances in trading partner countries and the specifics of their relations. The sample consists of panel data, which includes CEFTA member countries and their major trading partners for the period 1999-2007. Results of the gravity model suggest that trade liberalisation did not improve trade in the region for the observed period, when controlling for the other trade determinants. This finding may be a result of recent conflicts between the observed countries of the region.

Date: 2011
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