New EU member states’ emigration: Projections for future and lessons for the new EU candidates

Iva Vuksanović Herceg Tomislav Herceg Lorena Škuflić
Additional contact information
Iva Vuksanović Herceg Tomislav Herceg Lorena Škuflić: University of Belgrade Faculty of Economics, Belgrade, SERBIA. Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia. Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia.

Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, 2020, vol. 23, issue 2, 129-140

Abstract: Unlike the old member states that compensate the negative net birth rate with immigration, the new EU member states face both migrational and natural demographic decline. In the last decade, poor level of economic development as well as the accession to the EU encouraged net emigration from the new member states. Panel data for the 12 new member states for the 2007 - 2016 period were used to determine how the length of membership and GDP per capita trailing behind the EU average affect the proportion of the net emigration. It has been shown that on average a country has to reach at least 85 percent of the average EU GDP p.c. (measured in PPS) to prevent emigration, but this level increases with each year of membership by 1.37 percentage points. JEL Classification: O15, P23

Keywords: emigration; depopulation; economic development; new EU member states; old EU member states (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://hrcak.srce.hr/index.php?show=clanak&id_clanak_jezik=359936 (text/html)
Abstract only available on-line

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zag:zirebs:v:23:y:2020:i:2:p:129-140

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, Trg J. F. Kennedy 6, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia.
http://www.efzg.hr/default.aspx?id=6045

DOI: 10.2478/zireb-2020-0017

Access Statistics for this article

Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business is currently edited by Soumitra Sharma

More articles in Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business from Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Jurica Šimurina ( this e-mail address is bad, please contact ).