Evaluating Asymmetries in Active Labour Market Policies: the Case of Italy
Carlo Altavilla and
Floro Caroleo ()
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Carlo Altavilla: Università di Napoli Parthenope
Chapter 15 in The European Labour Market. Regional Dimensions, 2006, pp 311-338 from AIEL - Associazione Italiana Economisti del Lavoro
Abstract:
This paper aims at analyzing whether Labour Market Programs (ALMP) could have different effects on unemployment and employment dynamics according to the particular region where the program is implemented. To this end, the research analyses alternative theoretical and econometric models thought to capture the possible effects that active labour market policies might have on labour forces dynamics. The econometric methodologies implemented are the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) and the Panel Vector Autoregression (P-VAR). The evidence emerging from the GMM models suggests that the effects of ALMP on unemployment are dissimilar across the Italian regions. It follows that some active programs are likely to exert a greater effect in the South than in the North. The results of the P-VAR estimated models are synthesized in the impulse response analysis and the forecast error variance decomposition. The impulse response analysis suggests that an increase in ALMP lead to: (i) a decrease in the unemployment rate, and (ii) significant increase in labour force participation. More interestingly, results obtained from the error-variance decomposition analysis show that unemployment movements are not driven by shocks in the ALMP and that, especially in the northern regions, atypical contracts shocks account for a substantial portion of unemployment dynamics.
Keywords: ALMP; Beveridge Curve; GMM; P-VAR. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ail:chapts:01-15
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