Labour Market Transitions During the Financial Crisis in Italy

Marco Lilla () and Stefano Staffolani

Chapter 11 in Social Exclusion. Short and Long Term Causes and Consequences, 2012, pp 221-237 from AIEL - Associazione Italiana Economisti del Lavoro

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to evaluate the consequences of the financial crisis on the Italian labour market by analysing the determinants of individuals’ transitions between occupational states. For this purpose, we use micro-data micro-data from the Istat Labour Force Survey, a repeated cross-section dataset. In order to identify the determinants of transitions, two strategies are followed:: firstly, we consider the “perceived” employment condition, available at the individual level for the previous year. Then, following the “ecological inference” approach, we get quarterly transition probabilities for the “official” employment condition. The economic crisis has mostly penalized young, migrants, men, and people living in North area as well as couples without children and single parents with children.

Keywords: Crisis; Transitions; Unemployment; Ecological Inference. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J23 J63 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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