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Bayesian Comparison of GARCH Processes with Asymmetric and Heavy Tailed Conditional Distributions

Mateusz Pipień

Chapter 8 in FindEcon Monograph Series: Advances in Financial Market Analysis, 2007, vol. 3, pp 123-140 from University of Lodz

Abstract: The main goal of this chapter is to define a set of competing GARCH specifications, all with asymmetric conditional distributions, which also allow for heavy tails. As an initial specification we consider GARCH model with conditional Student-t distribution with unknown degrees of freedom parameter, proposed by Bollerslev (1987). By introducing skewness, according to the methods mentioned above and by incorporating the resulting family as a conditional distribution, we generate GARCH models which compete in explaining possible asymmetry of the conditional and unconditional distribution of the financial data. We also consider GARCH process with conditional alfa-Stable distribution, which formally, from the definition, also allows for skewness, see Nolan (1996).

Keywords: Bayesian econometrics; GARCH model; Asymmetric and heavy tailed conditional distributions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C01 E02 F00 G00 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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