Projecting Tax Revenues

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Chapter 2 in Tax Policy and Uncertainty, 2020, pp 7-28 from Edward Elgar Publishing

Abstract: This chapter presents a framework for projecting personal income tax revenue, along with revenue from a broad-based goods and services tax, and capital income tax. The model allows for changing age-income profiles over time. The tax system is applied and total revenue at each date is obtained by aggregating over the cross-section of all cohorts existing at that date. With additional information about the changing propensity to consume over the life cycle, the model is also used to project revenue from indirect taxation. The model deals with population ageing, and involves the use of age-income profiles for males and females, and income arising from government benefits. Variations in average effective tax rates over time are produced.

Keywords: Economics and Finance; Politics and Public Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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