Futures in a dance with systems theory: fields in an overlapping paradigm

Marius Oosthuizen

Chapter 4 in Handbook of Futures Studies, 2024, pp 39-47 from Edward Elgar Publishing

Abstract: This chapter explores the intricate relationship between systems thinking and strategic foresight, proposing a symbiotic interplay between the two paradigms. It delves deep into the conceptual foundations of both fields, highlighting the strengths, differences, and convergences. Systems thinking, rooted in understanding complex interactions and the holistic nature of entities, offers insights into the present system dynamics. Conversely, strategic foresight is oriented towards anticipating future dynamics, providing an avenue to proactively prepare for multifaceted possibilities. Using examples from climate science and policy-making, the chapter underscores the value of combining these paradigms to navigate contemporary challenges. The art of conjecture, as detailed in the chapter, becomes an innovative framework, bridging systems understanding with future-centric conjectures, emphasizing post-reductionist emergence, non-linearity, and trans-contextual synthesis. Collectively, these insights advocate for an integrated approach in understanding and shaping our world, combining the depth of present systems understanding with the breadth of future anticipations.

Keywords: Business and Management; Development Studies; Economics and Finance; Environment; Innovations and Technology; Politics and Public Policy Sociology and Social Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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