Measuring confidence

Sophia Li and Don A. Moore

Chapter 6 in Handbook of Experimental Methods in the Social Sciences, 2026, pp 252-266 from Edward Elgar Publishing

Abstract: This chapter provides an overview of the most common methods for measuring confidence and overconfidence in judgment and decision-making. We review key elicitation methods used in survey design, including Likert scales, score estimates, confidence intervals, percentile ranks, and histogram distributions. We also discuss a smaller set of behavioral measures of confidence. For each method, we provide examples from the published literature and highlight its strengths and limitations. Finally, we outline key considerations to help researchers determine the most appropriate elicitation method for their studies.

Keywords: Confidence; Overconfidence; Calibration; Judgment And Decision-Making; Survey Design (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
ISBN: 9781035312627
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