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The metamorphosis of external vulnerability: from ‘original sin’ to ‘original sin redux’

Luiz Fernando de Paula, Barbara Fritz and Daniela Magalhães Prates

Chapter 3 in Currency Hierarchy and Financial Globalisation, 2026, pp 57-80 from Edward Elgar Publishing

Abstract: This chapter analyses the impact of new patterns of capital flows under financial globalisation, in particular the recent wave of using emerging market currencies for international short-term investments and its influence on the external vulnerability of these countries, contrasting it with the patterns of financial vulnerability of traditional foreign currency-denominated debt. To do so, we analyse the phenomenon of ‘original sin redux’, as opposed to the well-established phenomenon of ‘original sin’, and provide a balance sheet analysis inspired by Minsky's framework to assess the metamorphosis of these vulnerabilities systematically.

Keywords: External vulnerability; Emerging market economies; Original sin redux; Balance sheet analysis; Minsky (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
ISBN: 9781035328826
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