Minimum Wage Shocks, Employment Flows, and Labor Market Frictions

Arindrajit Dube, T. William Lester and Michael Reich

Chapter Chapter 5 in The Unexpected Economics of Minimum Wages, 2025, pp 89-130 from Edward Elgar Publishing

Abstract: We provide the first estimates of the effects of minimum wages on employment flows in the US labor market, identifying the impact by using policy discontinuities at state borders. We find that minimum wages have a sizable negative effect on employment flows but not on stocks. Separations and accessions fall among affected workers, es-pecially those with low tenure. We do not find changes in the dura-tion of nonemployment for separations or hires. This evidence is consistent with search models with endogenous separations.

Date: 2025
ISBN: 9781035358878
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