EAEU Balancing Hydropower Capacity Issues in Terms of Global Pandemic Consequences

Inna V. Andronova, Vladislav V. Kuzmin and David Celetti

A chapter in Current Problems of the World Economy and International Trade, 2022, vol. 42, pp 141-153 from Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Abstract: The main purpose of this chapter is to show the correlation of the current consolidated electricity capacity of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) with the forecast indicators of electricity consumption to optimize the future energy system. It highlights the main directions of the international cooperation development in the field of hydropower and analyzes the total consumption of hydropower in the EAEU. The study is based on official data provided by international hydropower and renewable energy regulators as well as national professional regulators and statistical offices. Authors predicted total hydropower consumption of the EAEU countries for the coming years using machine learning algorithms and interpreted obtained results by an econometric toolkit. It is shown that the current hydropower capacity level will not cover future consumption, in particular, due to the increasingly growing demand for cheap electricity because of massive digitalization as one of the global pandemic impacts. As a result, the necessity was identified to gradually increasing the available hydropower capacity to balance the situation. In conclusion, it's been proposed potentially possible solutions to optimize the future energy system of the single energy market of the EAEU to achieve the required level of electricity generation from power plants operating on renewable energy sources and, in particular, water resources, taking into account the consequences of Covid-19 in the energy industry.

Keywords: Environment; renewable energy; hydropower; regression; machine learning; time series forecasting; F530; C530; Q420 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:reanzz:s0190-128120220000042014

DOI: 10.1108/S0190-128120220000042014

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