The State Strikes Back: The End of Economic Reform in China?

Nicholas Lardy ()
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Nicholas Lardy: Peterson Institute for International Economics

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Abstract: China's extraordinarily rapid economic growth since 1978, driven by market-oriented reforms, has set world records and continued unabated, despite predictions of an inevitable slowdown. In "The State Strikes Back: The End of Economic Reform in China?," renowned China scholar Nicholas R. Lardy argues that China's future growth prospects could be equally bright but are shadowed by the specter of resurgent state dominance, which has begun to diminish the vital role of the market and private firms in China's economy. Lardy's book arrives in timely fashion as a sequel to his pathbreaking "Markets over Mao: The Rise of Private Business in China," published by PIIE in 2014. This book mobilizes new data to trace how President Xi Jinping has consistently championed state-owned or controlled enterprises, encouraging local political leaders and financial institutions to prop up ailing, underperforming companies that are a drag on China's potential. As with his previous book, Lardy's perspective departs from conventional wisdom, especially in its contention that China could achieve a high growth rate for the next two decades—if it reverses course and returns to the path of market-oriented reforms. The data underlying this analysis are available at: https://www.piie.com/publications/bookstore/data/7373.zip

Date: 2019
ISBN: 9780881327373
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