Fuzzy Forecast Based on Fuzzy Time Series

Ming-Tao Chou

A chapter in Time Series Analysis - Data, Methods, and Applications from IntechOpen

Abstract: This chapter mainly uses fuzzy time series for interval prediction and long-term significance level analysis. In this study, the Taiwan Shipping and Transportation Index (Taiwan STI) is used to illustrate the prediction process. Nine steps have been used to establish the interval prediction of the Taiwan Shipping and Transportation Index (Taiwan STI), and ?S is called a long-term significance level (up/down/stable) is used to illustrate the long-term prediction significance level. By means of interval prediction and long-term prediction significance level, the future trends for this index and more internal messages related to this index can be provided to relevant researchers.

Keywords: fuzzy time series; interval prediction; long-term prediction significance level (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ito:pchaps:165840

DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.82843

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