The Impact of Inflation Expectations and Public Debt on Taxation in South Africa

Thobeka Ncanywa and Noko Setati

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Abstract: The study investigates the impact of inflation expectations and public debt on taxation in South Africa, employing the autoregressive distributive lag model and Granger Causality techniques. The results indicate a long-run positive significant relationship between inflation expectations and taxation and a negative significant relationship between public debt and taxation. This reveals that when consumers and businesses expect the inflation rate to rise, taxable income will also increase. The public debt-taxation nexus can imply that the South African government finances its debts through borrowing than through taxation. Therefore, economic participants must have full knowledge of what can influence taxation.

Keywords: taxation; inflation expectations; public debt; ARDL approach; granger causality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ito:pchaps:279815

DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.107389

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