Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting

Victor Zarnowitz

in NBER Books from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Date: 1992
Note: EFG
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Chapters in this book:

Macroeconomics and Business Cycles: An Overview , pp 1-19

Victor Zarnowitz

Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective , pp 20-76

Victor Zarnowitz

Facts and Factors in the Modern Evolution of US Economic Fluctuations , pp 77-124

Victor Zarnowitz

Cyclical Aspects of Cost and Price Movements , pp 125-163

Victor Zarnowitz

Research during the First 50 Years of the National Bureau , pp 164-180

Victor Zarnowitz

How Trends and Fluctuations Are Observed, Modeled, and Simulated: An Introduction , pp 181-202

Victor Zarnowitz

Business Cycles and Growth , pp 203-231

Victor Zarnowitz

The Regularity of Business Cycles , pp 232-264

Victor Zarnowitz

Econometric Model Simulations and the Cyclical Characteristics of the Economy , pp 265-280

Victor Zarnowitz

Cyclical Indicators: Structure, Significance, and Uses , pp 281-315

Victor Zarnowitz

Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators , pp 316-356

Victor Zarnowitz

Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes , pp 357-382

Victor Zarnowitz

On Short-Term Predictions of General Economic Conditions , pp 383-413

Victor Zarnowitz

An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Aggregate Forecasts , pp 414-443

Victor Zarnowitz

The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts , pp 444-461

Victor Zarnowitz

Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts , pp 462-491

Victor Zarnowitz

Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction , pp 492-518

Victor Zarnowitz

The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting , pp 519-534

Victor Zarnowitz

References , pp 535-576

Victor Zarnowitz

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