The Relevance Quotient: Keynes and Carnap

Domenico Costantini and Ubaldo Garibaldi

Chapter 8 in Fundamental Uncertainty, 2011, pp 171-210 from Palgrave Macmillan

Abstract: Abstract The well-known, but not widely read, book of John Maynard Keynes, A Treatise on Probability (hereafter TP) (Keynes, 1973a [1921])— essentially written more than ten years before it was published in 1921 by Macmillan & and Co. in London—consists of five parts. Part II, entitled “Fundamental Theorems,” comprises Chapters 10–17. In the introductory chapter of this part the author says In Part I we have been occupied with the epistemology of our subject, that is to say, with what we know about the characteristics and the justification of probable knowledge. In Part II I pass to its formal logic. I am not certain of how much positive value this Part will prove to the reader. My object in it is to show that [...] we can deduce by rigorous methods out of simple and precise definitions the usually accepted results.

Keywords: Occupation Number; Inductive Logic; Predictive Probability; Unary Move; Uniform Probability Distribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-30568-7_8

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DOI: 10.1057/9780230305687_8

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