Modelling Transnational Environmental Risks: Scenarios for Decision Support

Fabian Wagner

Chapter 5 in Forecasting, Warning and Responding to Transnational Risks, 2011, pp 65-84 from Palgrave Macmillan

Abstract: Abstract Predicting the future has a long history. In European culture it can be traced back to prehistoric versions of astronomy, codified in Stonehenge and the Nebra Sky Disk. The notions of a well-ordered cosmos, of cyclical time, are intimately linked with the belief in a future that can be divined (Gould, 1987; Eliade, 1991).

Keywords: Integrate Assessment Model; Oxford English Dictionary; Gain Model; Modelling Team; Stakeholder Meeting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-31691-1_5

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DOI: 10.1057/9780230316911_5

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