The Impact of the Euro Changeover on Inflation: Evidence from the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices
Marco Ercolani and
Jayasri Dutta
Chapter 10 in The Travails of the Eurozone, 2007, pp 233-270 from Palgrave Macmillan
Abstract:
Abstract Although anecdotal evidence has emerged to suggest that the prices of some goods did rise substantially at the time euro notes and coins were introduced, there have been few studies that have attempted to test this formally. Here we present formal statistical tests for the occurrence of a sudden increase in the aggregate price level for the 12 countries that undertook the changeover to euro notes and coins on 1 January 2002. Any sudden increase in the price level can also be detected as a temporary but substantial one-period rise in the rate of inflation. We use the countries that did not participate in the euro-changeover — Denmark, Sweden and the UK — as a control group for the formal statistical tests. We find that although the results are sensitive to the estimation method and to how the data are treated, there is weak evidence of a slight temporary increase in aggregate inflation (EuroStat code cp00) in January 2002 for the countries that did join the euro compared to those that did not. The data we use are from the New Cronos HICP (2005) monthly Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) as supplied by EuroStat and cover the period 1995 to 2005.
Keywords: Price Index; Euro Area; Price Increase; Price Movement; Price Adjustment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)
There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it.
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-80147-9_10
Ordering information: This item can be ordered from
http://www.palgrave.com/9780230801479
DOI: 10.1057/9780230801479_10
Access Statistics for this chapter
More chapters in Palgrave Macmillan Books from Palgrave Macmillan
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().