Speeding Up, Slowing Down
Joe Atikian
Chapter 4 in Industrial Shift: The Structure of the New World Economy, 2013, pp 28-49 from Palgrave Macmillan
Abstract:
Abstract Progress is steady and gradual as the agricultural and services sectors switch ranks. Global manufacturing holds its share steady except during the Soviet collapse. The rate of change in agriculture correlates to changes in wealth, but predicting future trends based on historic data proves questionable. In a complete reversal from past decades, a falling manufacturing share correlates with rising wealth; the cause is rising productivity. Developing countries can benefit from shifting to manufacturing while advanced countries can benefit by shifting to services. A chart of structural shift can be used as an indicator of political stability. Similarities are revealed between the path of mature industrial economies and today’s rising stars. China’s current path bears a remarkable resemblance to that of Sweden’s of a century ago.
Keywords: creative destruction; economic development; economic growth; industrial structure (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palchp:978-1-137-34031-3_4
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DOI: 10.1057/9781137340313_4
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