Import Competition and the Probability of Job Displacement

Roger White

Chapter Chapter 7 in Making Sense of Anti-trade Sentiment, 2014, pp 109-135 from Palgrave Macmillan

Abstract: Abstract We build on the analysis presented thus far by shifting our focus from the potential influence of international trade on industry-level employment and wages to whether trade correlates with a heightened probability that a worker experiences job displacement. Using worker-level data, we first estimate displacement probabilities for 32 worker types, defined by level of education, gender, race, and union affiliation. We then perform a series of counterfactual exercises to examine the effects of import competition on these displacement probabilities. To discern the relationship between trade and job displacement, we match individual worker observations from the 1984–2000 Displaced Worker Surveys (DWS) to industry-level data and estimate a series of binomial logit specifications.

Keywords: Union Member; Standard Industrial Classification; Import Competition; Displacement Probability; Minority Worker (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palchp:978-1-137-37325-0_7

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DOI: 10.1057/9781137373250_7

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