The Effect of Unemployment, Inflation and Real Income Growth on Government Popularity in Sweden

Lars Jonung () and Eskil Wadensjö

A chapter in Measurement in Public Choice, 1981, pp 202-212 from Palgrave Macmillan

Abstract: Abstract This paper investigates empirically the effects of unemployment, inflation and real income growth on the popularity of the Swedish government by testing various vote functions for the period 1967–1978. Government popularity is measured on the basis of data obtained from monthly opinion polls. The results suggest that unemployment, in particular among workers in manufacturing industry, and inflation exerted a strong influence on the popularity of the Social Democratic Party, which was the ruling party during the period 1967–1976. The effects of real income growth are considerably smaller. The estimations are sensitive to the empirical specifications of the explanatory variables, although the basic conclusions remain unchanged.

Keywords: Real Income; Opinion Poll; American Political Science Review; Political Business Cycle; Social Democratic Party (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1981
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palchp:978-1-349-05090-1_14

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DOI: 10.1007/978-1-349-05090-1_14

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