Conundrum with Distorted Urbanisation
Yazhuo Zheng and
Kent Deng
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Yazhuo Zheng: Beijing Enlightenment Institute for Economic and Social Research
Kent Deng: London School of Economics
Chapter 5 in State Failure and Distorted Urbanisation in Post-Mao's China, 1993–2012, 2018, pp 87-112 from Palgrave Macmillan
Abstract:
Abstract This chapter reveals the negative impacts of distorted urbanisation, that is the excessive currency quantitative easing, the high-risk housing bubble and the recession in farming and manufacturing. All of our observations indicate that China has chosen an imbalanced growth model after material production lost its growth momentum. The rise of the real estatereal estate market has compensated to a great extent the decline in farmingfarming and manufacturingmanufacturing but with a heavy price to pay: firstly, there is a sack-in effectsack-in effect on liquidityliquidity that is channelled to the housing markethousing market; secondly, there is the heavy indebtedness among local governments and private households and, thirdly, there is an elbow-out effectelbow-out effect on household consumptionhousehold consumption budgets due to a zero-sum gamezero-sum game between food and shelter.
Keywords: Urbanisation; Quantitative easing; State-fuelled housing market; State-owned leasable land; Land-for-loans; Local government debt; Housing price (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palscp:978-3-319-92168-6_5
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-92168-6_5
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