What Really Drives Financial Sector Development in Ghana?
Isaac Kwesi Ofori and
Camara Kwasi Obeng
Chapter Chapter 2 in Financial Sector Development in Ghana, 2023, pp 13-53 from Palgrave Macmillan
Abstract:
Abstract The chapter addresses two voids in the financial development scholarship on Ghana. First is the preferential selection of covariates deemed influential for financial development, and second, the use of traditional methods that lack regularisation powers for predicting financial development. To fill these gaps, we employ machine learning techniques to achieve two objectives—first, for identifying variables key for driving financial development in Ghana, and second, for presenting a model best for predicting financial development. To this end, we run three machine learning regularisation models namely, the Standard lasso, the Adaptive lasso and the minimum Schwarz Bayesian Information Criterion lasso, based on a dataset containing 81 potential predictors of financial development. We find that, for both regularisation and prediction objectives, the Adaptive lasso is the best. The evidence suggests that covariates such as economic globalisation, internet access and institutional quality matter for Ghana’s financial sector development. Policy recommendations are provided in the end.
Keywords: Cross-validation; Adaptive lasso; Financial development; Ghana; Lasso; Model selection; Regularisation; Standard lasso (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:pmschp:978-3-031-09345-6_2
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http://www.palgrave.com/9783031093456
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-09345-6_2
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