Government Policy Response to COVID-19 and Stock Market Return: The Case of Iran
Sakine Owjimehr () and
Ali Hussein Samadi ()
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Sakine Owjimehr: Shiraz University
Ali Hussein Samadi: Shiraz University
Chapter Chapter 19 in Socioeconomic Dynamics of the COVID-19 Crisis, 2022, pp 423-439 from Springer
Abstract:
Abstract In this chapter, we use four indices showing government intervention in facing COVID-19, including stringency index, government response index, containment and health index, and economic support index. The stock market return of Iran from 22 Feb 2020 to 12 June 2021 is our dependent variable. Using a threshold regression, we show that government intervention indices have different effects on the stock market return in Iran, so that when the growth rate of confirmed cases of COVID-19 is less than 0.06%, government intervention cannot affect the stock market return. However, in a situation with a higher growth rate of confirmed cases of COVID-19, stringency index, government response index, and containment and health index reduce the return, but the economic support index increases return. In summary, first, the impact of government intervention on the stock market in Iran depends on the growth rate of confirmed cases. Second, the government faces a trade-off between citizens’ health and stock market return during the high incidence rate of COVID-19.
Keywords: COVID-19; Stock markets; Government policy responses; Iran (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G11 G18 H51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:conchp:978-3-030-89996-7_19
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-89996-7_19
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