Simulating Policy Reform: Distributional and Poverty Outcomes of the New Social Welfare Law in Serbia

Mihail Arandarenko (), Sonja Avlijas (), Sasa Randjelovic (), Marko Vladisavljevic and Jelena Zarkovic Rakic ()
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Mihail Arandarenko: University of Belgrade
Sonja Avlijas: University of Belgrade
Sasa Randjelovic: University of Belgrade
Jelena Zarkovic Rakic: University of Belgrade

Chapter Chapter 15 in Poverty and Exclusion in the Western Balkans, 2013, pp 261-281 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract This chapter presents micro-simulation results of the impact of a new social welfare law adopted in Serbia in 2010 on income distribution and poverty outcomes across households. Micro-simulations were conducted using a tax-benefit micro-simulation model for Serbia (SRMOD). The new law introduced a number of the changes to the eligibility criteria for the last-resort social assistance programme discussed in this chapter. These are expected to improve significantly the targeting of social assistance, both in terms of its expanded coverage and increases in the amounts of social assistance received by the already eligible households. Simulation results suggest that the changes in legislation would increase social assistance eligibility of households in the poorest income decile by 18.4 %. The average amount of the benefit would increase by about 10.6 % per adult equivalent. Finally, total fiscal expenditures on MOP would increase by 34.6 %.

Keywords: Income Distribution; Poverty Line; Disposable Income; Social Assistance; Eligible Household (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:esichp:978-1-4614-4945-4_15

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DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4614-4945-4_15

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