Uncertainty and Causality in Public Policy: The Cases of Heart Disease and Climate Change

Vikram Dayal

A chapter in Sustainable Development Insights from India, 2021, pp 425-448 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Uncertainty is a key feature of the world; when we consider actions to take, we confront uncertainty, but also issues of causality. We begin with an analytical framework that builds on probability both to express uncertainty as well as causality. We then consider uncertainty and normative decision frameworks. We then see how causal inference informs us about heart disease and climate change. We end with a brief consideration of beliefs, communication and literacy.

Keywords: Uncertainty; Causality; Heart disease; Climate change; Probability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:isbchp:978-981-33-4830-1_20

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DOI: 10.1007/978-981-33-4830-1_20

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