Huge Capacity Planning and Resource Pricing for Pioneering Projects
David Porter
Chapter Chapter 14 in Modeling Uncertainty, 2002, pp 285-300 from Springer
Abstract:
Abstract Pioneering projects are systems that are designed and operated with new, virtually untested, technologies. Thus, decisions concerning the capacity of the initial project, its expansion over time and its operations are made with uncertainty. This is particularly true for NASA’s earth orbiting Space Station. A model is constructed that describes the input-output structure of the Space Station in which cost and performance is uncertain. It is shown that when there is performance uncertainty the optimal pricing policy is not to price at expected marginal cost. The optimal capacity decisions require the use of contingent contracts prior to construction to determine the optimal expansion path.
Keywords: Marginal Cost; Spot Market; Priority Class; Contingent Contract; Vickrey Auction (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:isochp:978-0-306-48102-4_14
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DOI: 10.1007/0-306-48102-2_14
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