Forecasting the Resurgence of the U. S. Economy in 2001: An Expert Judgment Approach

Thomas L. Saaty () and Luis G. Vargas ()
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Thomas L. Saaty: University of Pittsburgh
Luis G. Vargas: University of Pittsburgh

Chapter Chapter 2 in Decision Making with the Analytic Network Process, 2013, pp 41-73 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Building on work done earlier this chapter illustrates our use of the Analytic Hierarchy/Network Process to produce a December 2008 forecast of when the U.S. economy would begin to recover from the contraction that, according to an announcement dated December 1, 2008, from the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), began during the month of December, 2007. Here we illustrate two approaches.

Keywords: Gross Domestic Product; Housing Market; Fiscal Policy; Aggregate Demand; Credit Default Swap (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:isochp:978-1-4614-7279-7_2

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DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4614-7279-7_2

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