 Reminiscences of a Classical Model Expert Elicitation FacilitatorWilly Aspinall ()
Chapter Chapter 17 in Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis, 2021, pp 389-399 from Springer Abstract: Abstract In this chapter, I trace my introduction to the Classical Model and to the thoughts and philosophy of Roger Cooke, and then go on to recount some experiences of acting as a facilitator in many real world and sometimes crucial expert elicitations. The essence of my own history is that it took me a very long time to start to understand, and appreciate, the elegance of Roger’s Classical Model (Cooke 1991), its mathematical probity and how it is best deployed in application. I am sure I still haven’t fully mastered the probability calculus entirely, and don’t doubt others might quarrel with my preferred way of conducting elicitations that rely on the Classical Model, using a plenary workshop approach. This said, I can’t find, devise or even imagine, a better alternative to the Classical Model. And, on top of this extraordinary intellectual achievement, Roger Cooke has been a beneficent collaborator nonpareil, always willing to help me, and anyone else, avoid self-inflicted elicitation and probabilistic infelicities. Date: 2021 There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it. Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:isochp:978-3-030-46474-5_17 Ordering information: This item can be ordered from DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-46474-5_17 Access Statistics for this chapter More chapters in International Series in Operations Research & Management Science from Springer |
Is your work missing from RePEc? Here is how to contribute.
Questions or problems? Check the EconPapers FAQ or send mail to .
EconPapers is hosted by the
School of Business at Örebro University.