Dealing with Imperfect Elicitation Results

Rens Schoot (), Elian Griffioen () and Sonja D. Winter ()
Additional contact information
Rens Schoot: Utrecht University
Elian Griffioen: Utrecht University
Sonja D. Winter: University of California

Chapter Chapter 18 in Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis, 2021, pp 401-417 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract The trial-and-roulette method is a popular method to extract experts’ beliefs about a statistical parameter. However, most studies examining the validity of this method only use ‘perfect’ elicitation results. In practice, it is sometimes hard to obtain such neat elicitation results. In our project about predicting fraud and questionable research practices among Ph.D. candidates, we ran into issues with imperfect elicitation results. The goal of the current chapter is to provide an overview of the solutions we used for dealing with these imperfect results, so that others can benefit from our experience. We present information about the nature of our project, the reasons for the imperfect results and how we resolved these supported by annotated R-syntax.

Date: 2021
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:isochp:978-3-030-46474-5_18

Ordering information: This item can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/9783030464745

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-46474-5_18

Access Statistics for this chapter

More chapters in International Series in Operations Research & Management Science from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().