The Forgotten Effects Model on Selection Policies to Climate Change Adaptation

Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente () and Jaime Alexander López-Guauque
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Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente: University of Barcelona
Jaime Alexander López-Guauque: University of Barcelona

A chapter in Decision Making and Knowledge Decision Support Systems, 2015, pp 67-78 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract The impacts of climate change have become a growing question for the various players in the field. Adapting to such impacts is seen as an uncertain and complex phenomenon the more one gets involved in each of the key processes. Therefore, the degree of involvement or impact will have a larger or lesser effect, on an uncertain scale, in a given a period of time, and under homogenous conditions. Several elements of success in the decision-making are analyzed and discussed. Such elements, with different weightings, are implicit in the decision-making processes. From the forgotten effects theory, we can establish the accumulated effects of first and second generation in order to determine multiplier or enhancer effects—where our efforts will be focused. This will allow a longer scope for decisions to be made and strategies to be formulated as well as for the valuation of various groups and scales in which adaptations will be evaluated.

Keywords: Climate change; Adaptation; Forgotten effects model; Decision making (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:lnechp:978-3-319-03907-7_8

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-03907-7_8

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