E-mobility: Assessing the Market Potential for Public and Private Charging Infrastructure

Robert Rieg, Stefan Ferber () and Sandrina Finger ()
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Stefan Ferber: Bosch Software Innovations GmbH
Sandrina Finger: Aalen University

A chapter in Operations Research Proceedings 2012, 2014, pp 291-296 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Infrastructure is a success factor for e-mobility. It is needed to operate e-vehicles and to convince individuals and firms to switch; the most important component of it is the charging station system. Since not all e-vehicles will charge at home, a significant part will use public charging stations. Investors will only install and operate charging infrastructure if there are profitable prospects. Because lacking historical data for forecasting, we propose a system dynamics model to capture factors and policies facilitating or impeding the buildup of public charging infrastructure. Yet, there is a “chicken-egg” problem: without infrastructure diffusion and growth of the e-vehicle market will not start off. Without enough market potential, investors will be reluctant to invest in infrastructure. We concentrate on so called Alpha Cities like Singapore, because they will presumably lead the way for e-mobility. Our analysis allows to estimate potential market size of public charging infrastructure depending on the city and several endogeneous and exogeneous variables. An important finding is the recommendation to offer a combination of charging services.

Keywords: Network Effect; Early Adopter; System Dynamic Model; Revenue Stream; Potential Adopter (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:oprchp:978-3-319-00795-3_42

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-00795-3_42

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