Continuum of Health State and Identification of Precritical Conditions: Approaches and Models

Boris A. Kobrinskii ()
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Boris A. Kobrinskii: Federal Research Center “Computer Science and Control” of the Russian Academy of Sciences

A chapter in Demographic Transitions, Health, and Well-Being, 2025, pp 465-474 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract The continuum model of development and subsequent aging of the human body or a continuum of transitional health states, depending on many risk factors, is characterized by the absence of clear boundaries between normality and pathology, that is, in a mathematical sense, we are talking about a continuous function that determines the health state of the developing organism and depends on many arguments. In the process of life, a regular reassessment of the relative role and influence of both individual factors and their combinations should be carried out, taking into account the interference of positive and negative influences of external factors. The purpose of constructing a dynamic mathematical model is to analyze the transitional pathological states of the body over time and evaluate the effectiveness of protective effects of a preventive nature. The continuum (quasi-continuum) of transitional states of an organism is considered as a random process with discrete states. The creation of a model of transitional health states meets the goal of managing personal health by preventing or delaying the manifestation of diseases on the basis of targeted counter-effects on certain modifiable risk factors for the development of pathological processes. A model is considered that includes imperatives as restrictions and operators as an abstraction of measures aimed at changing the patient’s condition. This model is planned for inclusion in an intelligent recommendation system.

Keywords: Continuum (Quasicontinuum) of transitional health states; Risk factors; Fuzzy; Model of random processes; Mathematical model; Operators (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:prbchp:978-3-031-94487-1_41

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-94487-1_41

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