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Modelling of Currency Exchange Rates Using a Binary-Temporal Representation

Michał Dominik Stasiak ()
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Michał Dominik Stasiak: Poznań University of Economic and Business

A chapter in Contemporary Trends in Accounting, Finance and Financial Institutions, 2018, pp 97-110 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract In the following article a new method for modelling exchange rates with a binary-temporal representation is proposed. The presented model allows for an approximation of change probabilities for course trajectory, depending on the direction and duration of previous change. Model parameters are appointed based on statistical analysis of a binary-temporal representation of 5-year historical tick data for AUD/NZD exchange rate. The main characteristics of the model are parameter’s independence from any superior trends and a possibility of application in algorithms of automatic trade systems.

Keywords: Foreign exchange market; High frequency econometric; Technical analysis; Currency market investment decision support; Modelling of currency exchange rates (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:prbchp:978-3-319-72862-9_8

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-72862-9_8

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