Models of Global Dynamics: From Club of Rome to Integrated Assessment

Natali Hritonenko and Yuri Yatsenko
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Natali Hritonenko: Prairie View A&M University

Chapter Chapter 12 in Mathematical Modeling in Economics, Ecology and the Environment, 2013, pp 263-283 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Human activities can cause negative global changes in the environment, such as global warming, excessive pollution of the environment, extinction of some species, degradation of entire geographic areas, and others. Section 12.1 discusses the modeling of global changes as a scientific problem of great complexity and importance. Section 12.2 describes the first global models—models of world dynamics developed by J. W. Forrester, D. H. Meadows, and M. D. Mesarovic in the 1970s. They represented first systematic attempts to analyze the global dynamics and produced outcomes that attracted significant public attention. These models evolved in the 1990s into a more quantitative approach known as integrated assessment models, which are explored in Sect. 12.3.

Keywords: Human Development Index; Global Trend; Ecological Footprint; United Nation Development Program; Environmental Kuznets Curve (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4614-9311-2_12

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