Demographic Accounting Models

Peter A. Morrison and Thomas M. Bryan
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Peter A. Morrison: Peter A. Morrison & Associates
Thomas M. Bryan: Bryan GeoDemographics

Chapter Chapter 4 in Redistricting: A Manual for Analysts, Practitioners, and Citizens, 2019, pp 37-44 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract How does the intrinsic voting strength of two groups with different adult age structures compare? How does the annual maturation of juvenile cohorts into adult voters gradually augment a group’s voting strength over time? Answers to these questions can account for why one group registers or votes at higher rates than another. This chapter furnishes two useful demographic accounting models: one, for making an “apples to apples” comparison of political participation across groups where differing age structures obscure a true comparison; the other, to foresee the effects over time of juvenile cohorts maturing into adult voters, strengthening that group’s political participation over time.

Keywords: Age standardization; Cohort progression; Forecasting; Voting strength; Voter turnout (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-15827-9_4

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-15827-9_4

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