Infant Mortality, State Capacity, Rents, and Civil War

Atin Basuchoudhary, James Bang, John David () and Tinni Sen ()
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John David: Virginia Military Institute
Tinni Sen: Virginia Military Institute

Chapter Chapter 5 in Identifying the Complex Causes of Civil War, 2021, pp 61-74 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract This chapter shows how empirically informed covariate selection can help us choose treatments that may be more meaningful than the immediate predictors of conflict. Thus, our algorithmic approach allows interpretation and moves machine learning away from its “black-box” reputation. Further, we suggest that traditional parametric empirical techniques can be misleading and have dangerous policy implications. To be precise, we show that increased government consumption expenditures can increase conflict in some variable ranges, even if the average effect is to reduce conflict.

Keywords: Infant mortality; General government expenditures; State capacity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-81993-4_5

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-81993-4_5

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