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Discrete-Time Portfolio Optimization under Maximum Drawdown Constraint with Partial Information and Deep Learning Resolution

Carmine de Franco (), Johann Nicolle () and Huyên Pham ()
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Carmine de Franco: OSSIAM, 80, Avenue de la Grande Armée
Johann Nicolle: LPSM-OSSIAM, 80, Avenue de la Grande Armée
Huyên Pham: Université de Paris, Bâtiment Sophie Germain, Case courrier 7012

A chapter in Stochastic Analysis, Filtering, and Stochastic Optimization, 2022, pp 101-136 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract We study a discrete-time portfolio selection problem with partial information and maximum drawdown constraint. Drift uncertainty in the multidimensional framework is modeled by a prior probability distribution. In this Bayesian framework, we derive the dynamic programming equation using an appropriate change of measure, and obtain semi-explicit results in the Gaussian case. The latter case, with a CRRA utility function is completely solved numerically using recent deep learning techniques for stochastic optimal control problems. We emphasize the informative value of the learning strategy versus the non-learning one by providing empirical performance and sensitivity analysis with respect to the uncertainty of the drift. Furthermore, we show numerical evidence of the close relationship between the non-learning strategy and a no short-sale constrained Merton problem, by illustrating the convergence of the former towards the latter as the maximum drawdown constraint vanishes.

Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-98519-6_5

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-98519-6_5

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