Clustering of Countries Based on the Associated Social Contact Patterns in Epidemiological Modelling

Evans Kiptoo Korir and Zsolt Vizi ()
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Evans Kiptoo Korir: Bolyai Institute, University of Szeged
Zsolt Vizi: Bolyai Institute, University of Szeged

A chapter in Trends in Biomathematics: Modeling Epidemiological, Neuronal, and Social Dynamics, 2023, pp 253-271 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Mathematical models have been used to understand the spread patterns of infectious diseases such as coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The transmission component of the models can be modelled in an age-dependent manner via introducing contact matrix for the population, which describes the contact rates between the age groups. Since social contact patterns vary from country to country, we can compare and group the countries using the corresponding contact matrices. In this paper, we present a framework for clustering countries based on their contact matrices with respect to an underlying epidemic model. Since the pipeline is generic and modular, we demonstrate its application in a COVID-19 model from Röst et al. (2020) which gives a hint about which countries can be compared in a pandemic situation, when only non-pharmaceutical interventions are available.

Keywords: Age-dependent epidemic model; Social contact pattern; Dimension reduction; Clustering; Reproduction number (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-031-33050-6_15

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-33050-6_15

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