Interest Rates

Eric Monnet

A chapter in Handbook of Cliometrics, 2024, pp 1531-1549 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Many influential cliometric studies have examined interest rates in order to assess the investment efficiency, the integration of markets, the economic effects of changes in policies or institutions, the sources of macroeconomic cycles, and so on. The common feature of this approach to economic history is that it is based on the crucial assumption that interest rates are the market prices at which demand meets supply. In this perspective, most debates focus on how to calculate yields or compare different rates of return on capital. Cliometricians developed innovative methods to construct yields and lending rates that were not specified in historical sources. It is only quite recently that economic historians have turned to cases where interest rates are not market-clearing prices. In such cases, there is little connection between interest rates and the state of the economy. Highlighting market imperfections, some recent studies have challenged earlier historical interpretations that overlooked the potential disconnection between prices (interest rates) and quantities. They offer new insights into the historical functioning of credit markets, central banking, and government intervention in financial systems.

Keywords: Interest rates; Internal rate of return; Market yields; Return to capital; Central banks; Institutions; Market integration; Financial history; Market clearing; Credit rationing; Government bonds (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Working Paper: Interest rates (2019)
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-35583-7_51

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