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The Detrimental Impact of Political Budget Cycles on the Greek Economy

George Petrakos (), Konstantinos Rontos (), Chara Vavoura () and Ioannis Vavouras ()
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George Petrakos: Panteion University of Social and Political Sciences
Konstantinos Rontos: University of the Aegean
Chara Vavoura: Panteion University
Ioannis Vavouras: Panteion University of Social and Political Sciences

Chapter Chapter 2 in The Role of the Public Sector in Building Social and Economic Resilience, 2024, pp 13-31 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Over the last fifty years, and more specifically during the period 1974–2022 known as the “Third Hellenic Republic,” Greece exhibits the pattern of severe political budget cycles, or electoral fiscal cycles, causing the country’s public debt to soar to unprecedented levels and possibly impeding its economic growth. In this paper, we aim to assess the impact of political budget cycles on the Greek economy. To this end, first, we quantify the effects of electoral cycles on the Greek actual budget balance, to evaluate the significance of political budget cycles on the accumulation of public debt in Greece in the post-1974 period. Secondly, we explore whether general or national elections affect the country’s GDP and estimate the extent to which this effect has played a stabilizing or a destabilizing role in the long-run evolution of the Greek economy.

Keywords: Political budget cycles; General elections; External balance; Economic growth; Greek economy; Destabilizing effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 E62 H62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-031-67702-1_2

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-67702-1_2

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