Probability Calculus, Pitfalls of Intuition and Judicial Errors

Silvia Bozza
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Silvia Bozza: Università Ca’ Foscari Venezia, Dipartimento di Economia

A chapter in Imagine Math 3, 2015, pp 263-269 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Statistics is assuming an increasing rule in the administration of justice. Scientific evidence is mostly presented at trial in terms of probabilities as measure of uncertainty. Handling probabilities may be an involving task, in particular with reference to complex cases that are characterized by multiple sources of uncertainty. The computation, presentation and interpretation of the probative value of the scientific evidence at trial may give rise to wrong considerations that might influence the final decision of a court. This has originated a large debate and this paper offers a general discussion about these aspects.

Keywords: Judicial Error; Probability Calculus; Damage Considerations; Crime Stain; Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-319-01231-5_19

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-01231-5_19

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