Assessing the Efficiency of Movement Restriction as a Control Strategy of Ebola

Baltazar Espinoza (), Victor Moreno (), Derdei Bichara () and Carlos Castillo-Chavez ()
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Baltazar Espinoza: Arizona State University, Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Science Center
Victor Moreno: Arizona State University, Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Science Center
Derdei Bichara: Arizona State University, Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Science Center
Carlos Castillo-Chavez: Arizona State University, Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Science Center

A chapter in Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases, 2016, pp 123-145 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract We formulate a two-patch mathematical model for Ebola Virus Disease dynamics in order to evaluate the effectiveness of travel restriction (cordons sanitaires), mandatory movement restrictions between communities while exploring their role on disease dynamics and final epidemic size. Simulations show that strict restrictions in movement between high and low risk areas of closely linked communities may have a deleterious impact on the overall levels of infection in the total population.

Keywords: Ebola; Epidemic model; Patch model; Spatial model; Transmission dynamics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-319-40413-4_9

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-40413-4_9

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