How to Calculate Traffic Breakdown Probability?

Julia Hinkel ()
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Julia Hinkel: Universität Rostock, Institut für Physik

A chapter in Traffic and Granular Flow’05, 2007, pp 537-543 from Springer

Abstract: Summary We would like to calculate the traffic breakdown probability distribution which is related to a first-order phase transition from free flow to congested flow. Intuitively we introduce the notion of breakdown probability density as a function of time to reach some significant large car cluster size (first passage time problem). The calculations are based on an initial-boundary-value Fokker-Planck equation including balance condition of the probability flux.

Keywords: Probability Density; Passage Time; Planck Equation; Observation Time Interval; Probability Density Distribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-540-47641-2_51

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-540-47641-2_51

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