Prediction Analysis of Logistics Demand in ShanXi Province Based on Gray System Theory

Hai-lan Wang () and Dao-zhi Zhao
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Hai-lan Wang: Tianjin University
Dao-zhi Zhao: Tianjin University

Chapter Chapter 41 in Proceedings of 2012 3rd International Asia Conference on Industrial Engineering and Management Innovation (IEMI2012), 2013, pp 413-420 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract With the resource-based economy transition in Shanxi Province, the demand of logistics and freight will be further increased in the future, it is necessary to analyze the history and estimate further logistics demand in Shanxi Province. This paper regards gray systematic theory as guidelines, based on the present situation of logistics demand and actual data in Shanxi province, establishes a gray forecast GM(1, 1) model, then forecasts the next 5 years logistics demand of Shanxi province, based on this, develops the logistics development plan from the government level and corporate level, according to some calculation, which could provide a quantitative base for government to plan the development of logistics.

Keywords: Forecasting; GM(1; 1); Logistics demand; Model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-642-33012-4_41

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-33012-4_41

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