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Successful Price Cycle Forecasts for S&P Futures Using TF3, a Pattern Recognition Algorithms Based on the KNN Method

Bill C. Giessen, Zhaoyang Zhao, Tao Yu, Jun Chen, Jian Yao and Ke Xu
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Bill C. Giessen: Northeastern University
Zhaoyang Zhao: Northeastern University
Tao Yu: Northeastern University
Jun Chen: Northeastern University
Jian Yao: Northeastern University
Ke Xu: Northeastern University

A chapter in Practical Fruits of Econophysics, 2006, pp 116-120 from Springer

Abstract: Summary Basing on the perceived stationary internal structure of market movements on appropriate time scales, a series of interrelated pattern recognition programs was designed to compare specific features of current cycle “legs” with a selected universe of analogous prior market features periods which are then queried to obtain a prediction as to the future of the current cycle leg. Similarities are determined by a K-Nearest-Neighbor (KNN) method. This procedure yields good results in simulated S&P futures trading and demonstrates the hypothesized stationary of market responses to stimuli.

Keywords: Pattern Recognition by KNN method; Stationarity of market structure; Semiweekly cycle in S&P Futures; Prediction price turning point (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-4-431-28915-9_20

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DOI: 10.1007/4-431-28915-1_20

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